

June 22, 2009
Kroger feasts amid a supermarket famine
As Wal-Mart, Costco and other big discounters eat into other chains' sales, the parent of Ralphs and Food 4 Less sees gains.
By Jerry Hirsch
Anne Marie Sablock said she regularly drives past an Albertsons, a Whole
Foods Market and several other supermarkets to shop at the Ralphs on Pacific
Coast Highway in Long Beach.
The Seal Beach mother of two teens is price sensitive and likes a broad
selection of goods. She buys house brands and private label products.
"I shop here because there is more choice and better prices," Sablock said
as she dropped a box of Ralphs brand instant oatmeal into her cart last
week.
Times are tough for neighborhood supermarkets as cost-conscious consumers
defect to Wal-Mart, Costco and other discounters. But Kroger Co., owner of
the Ralphs and Food 4 Less chains, seems to be bucking that trend.
Kroger posted same-store sales growth of 5% in the latest fiscal year. That
compares with growth of less than 1% for Vons parent Safeway Inc. and a 1.2%
decline for Supervalu Inc., parent company of Albertsons (excluding fuel
sales for all three).
Industry analysts say Cincinnati-based Kroger's success is probably tied to
its efforts to attract bargain hunters, aided by its exhaustive electronic
tracking of customers' shopping patterns and a push into marketing house
brands.
"Kroger is the best-positioned traditional food retailer in a weak economic
environment based on its aggressive pricing and strong market share
positions," said Joseph Agnese, a Standard & Poor's equity analyst.
Much of Kroger's recent success can be attributed to a tracking system that
identifies how often shoppers visit the store and provides the company with
detailed information about what they buy, Kroger Chief Executive David B.
Dillon said in an interview.
Developed by Dunnhumby, a British marketing company that also is working
with the Macy's department store chain in the United States, the system
gives Kroger clues as to what types of promotions and specials will draw
people back into its stores.
"We send our very best customers coupon books specifically targeted at what
they actually buy. The redemption rate of these coupons is significantly
higher than other coupons," Dillon said.
Kroger uses the data to divide the stores of most of its chains into three
tiers, and stock them accordingly. The upscale Ralphs store, for example,
will have a larger wine selection and won't offer the lowest price "Value"
private label goods. A mainstream Ralphs will have a broad mix of goods at
varying prices points, while the value store "will be much more focused on
price," Dillon said.
The system allows Kroger to identify which items matter most to customers
when it comes to price and prevents the company from discounting products
that would sell at higher prices.
With nearly 2,500 stores in 31 states, Kroger is the nation's largest
grocery company. It operates under two dozen local banner names, including
Ralphs and Food 4 Less in Southern California, Fred Meyer in the Pacific
Northwest, Food 4 Less in Chicago, Fry's Food and Drug in Arizona and Kroger
in Ohio, the Midwest and much of the South. The company also owns 385
jewelry stores.
The one place Kroger isn't doing better than its rivals this year is on Wall
Street, where its shares have fallen nearly 19% since Jan. 1, closing Friday
at $21.46. Safeway is down 12% and Supervalu is up almost 9%.
Over the last 12 months, however, Kroger looks better -- with a stock price
decline of about 18%, compared with 30% for Safeway and 49% for Supervalu.
Kroger has proved especially adept at operating in regions where Wal-Mart
Stores Inc.'s supercenters have captured large market shares, analysts say.
Last year, Kroger's share grew almost a full percentage point in regions
where Wal-Mart is no less than the No. 3 seller of groceries.
It could be nothing more than Kroger's giant size and reach "allowing it to
be the last man standing," said Jim Prevor, editor in chief of
PerishablePundit.com, a food industry website. "Wal-Mart comes in and
destroys the independents but doesn't get all of that share. Kroger gets a
slice too."
But Kroger also has benefited from shoppers turning to private label goods
to save money, said Andrew Wolf, an analyst at BB&T Capital Markets in
Richmond, Va. Private labels are now a $12.5-billion annual business at
Kroger.
Encouraged by its success, Kroger is marketing private label goods with
techniques once reserved for national brands. Shoppers who belong to the
company's loyalty club now get coupons and special offers for Kroger goods.
Recently Ralphs devoted the entire back page of in-store advertisements to
its private label products .
"I like the Ralphs Private Selection brand," said Derek Twells of Long
Beach. "I think it is a good value for the dollar, and the quality is close
to what you get in a national brand."
The lower price, however, doesn't mean the Kroger makes less money on the
sale, said Agnese of Standard & Poor's.
Kroger's house brands typically have a higher profit margin than the
national labels. The shift by consumers to less-expensive but higher-margin
private label goods is reflected in Kroger's financial results, Agnese said.
Earnings increased 8% to $349.2 million in the quarter ended Jan. 31 even
though sales grew less than 1% to $17.3 billion.
"Profits are the outcome of focusing on the customer," Dillon said.
Ralphs, held back by the bitter 2003-04 grocery workers strike and lockout
and payment of $70 million in fines and restitution for violating federal
labor laws during the labor dispute, is just now hitting the stride of other
Kroger divisions.
"Coming out of it was really hard," Dillon said. "We needed to get everyone
focused back on the business, and we started out slow. Some of our
associates and some of our managers did not have the right attitude to help
us come back."
Dillon likes the progress both Kroger and Ralphs have made but noted that
competition only gets tougher as nontraditional grocery retailers such as
Target and CVS devote more space for food.
The best way to meet that competition is to keep Kroger focused on its
shoppers.
"Ten years ago we paid too much attention -- almost every day -- looking at
what our competition was doing," Dillon said. "We can't ignore our
competitors, but we have to pay more attention to what our customers want in
our stores."
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